Posts by: sigthlines

Special Reports

How Much Has the Job Market Recovered?

We just updated our Jobs Spider, a graph taken from the work of James Bullard, President of the St. Louis Fed. The leading indicators are still a bit ahead of reality, but the distance has narrowed in recent months.

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Census Bureau Data

Although we review much of the Census Bureau’s research, the only release we write about regularly is the  Advance Retail Sales Report, which tracks consumer spending month by month.

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Special Reports

A few words on yesterday’s FOM statement, Bernanke’s press conference, and market reaction. * We’ve been arguing for some time now that the decline in the unemployment rate was running ahead of earlier Fed projections, and that their 6.5% trigger point was likely to be hit, if the trend of the last year and a half continues, in the summer of 2014.

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